Polymarket · Energy

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?

Energy expectations are rising at 100.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 100.0%. 24h move +24.4 pts. 7d move +25.4 pts. Data quality 47/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 100.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 62
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 10.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.7
Momentum75.3
Urgency71.3
7d Move25.5 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 100.0%. 24h move +24.4 pts. 7d move +25.4 pts. Data quality 47/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? 11.0% · Probability Fade · score 64 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? 50.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? 37.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M? 55.5% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? 19.7% · Probability Surge · score 50 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25? 75.0% · High Conviction · score 47