Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 25.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 25.5%. 24h move -20.0 pts. 7d move -20.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 25.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 54
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 996 Liquidity 918 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.0
Momentum75.0
Urgency54.2
7d Move-20.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 25.5%. 24h move -20.0 pts. 7d move -20.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference? 56.5% · Probability Surge · score 58 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 52.0% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 48.5% · Probability Surge · score 50 Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? 61.5% · Probability Fade · score 43