Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 52.0% on a high-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 52.0%. 24h move +10.5 pts. 7d move +15.5 pts. Data quality 52/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 52.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 54
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 100.0K Liquidity 11.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality52.5
Momentum69.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move15.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 52.0%. 24h move +10.5 pts. 7d move +15.5 pts. Data quality 52/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference? 53.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference? 25.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 49.0% · Probability Surge · score 52 Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? 61.5% · Probability Fade · score 43