Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?

Rates & Inflation expectations are rising at 56.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 56.5%. 24h move +17.0 pts. 7d move +17.0 pts. Data quality 35/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 56.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 58
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 920 Liquidity 991 Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality35.3
Momentum84.0
Urgency54.2
7d Move17.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 56.5%. 24h move +17.0 pts. 7d move +17.0 pts. Data quality 35/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference? 25.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 52.0% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? 48.5% · Probability Surge · score 50 Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? 0.2% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? 61.5% · Probability Fade · score 43