Polymarket · Energy

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Energy expectations are falling at 3.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 3.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 3.5%
Signal Watch
Score 34
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.0K Liquidity 16.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality47.6
Momentum11.8
Urgency47.6
7d Move-1.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 3.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

Same theme
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 97.5% · Probability Surge · score 73 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? 88.5% · Probability Surge · score 67 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? 65.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 61 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 65.5% · Probability Surge · score 54 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 53