Polymarket · Energy

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Energy expectations are rising at 60.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 60.0%. 24h move +4.5 pts. 7d move +4.5 pts. Data quality 50/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 60.0%
Signal Watch
Score 45
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.7K Liquidity 39.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.6
Momentum26.1
Urgency69.8
7d Move4.5 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 60.0%. 24h move +4.5 pts. 7d move +4.5 pts. Data quality 50/100.

Same theme
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026? 99.4% · Probability Surge · score 63 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 75.5% · Probability Surge · score 63 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? 84.3% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? 82.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 14.5% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? 37.5% · Probability Fade · score 59