Polymarket · Energy

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5

Energy expectations are rising at 29.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 29.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 29.0%
Signal Watch
Score 35
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 91 Liquidity 5.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality34.4
Momentum2.9
Urgency95.0
7d Move0.5 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 29.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

Same theme
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026? 99.4% · Probability Surge · score 63 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 75.5% · Probability Surge · score 63 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? 84.3% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? 82.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 14.5% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? 38.0% · Probability Fade · score 59