Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 14.5% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 14.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 64/100.
Probability
14.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
36
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 987.5K
Liquidity 216.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality64.2
Momentum11.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-2.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 14.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 64/100.
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