Polymarket · Energy

Fuse FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Energy expectations are rising at 46.0% on a thin market. Energy expectation is steady at 46.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 22/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 46.0%
Signal Watch
Score 16
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 89 Liquidity 36 Spread 0.7 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality21.8
Momentum3.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move1.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 46.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 22/100.

Same theme
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? 12.5% · Probability Fade · score 64 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? 20.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? 35.5% · Probability Fade · score 56 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? 38.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? 19.7% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M? 62.0% · Probability Surge · score 48