Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Russia win on 2026-06-09?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 90.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 90.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 90.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 38
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.8K Liquidity 6.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality45.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency95.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 90.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
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