A1DC34 SAO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AGREE REALTYDRN ED · Real Estate · Reit - Retail

Latest close 51.61 BRL
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 51.61 BRL 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 18.0% 9 of 50 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 22.87% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 7.7% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W8.2%
12W7.7%
26W10.4%
52W-
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth18.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change280.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-4.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks3
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202651.61 BRL1.3%48.48 BRL48.37 BRL0.86-4On
24 Jul 202650.93 BRL-1.3%48.34 BRL48.30 BRL0.55-33On
17 Jul 202651.62 BRL4.1%48.23 BRL48.25 BRL0.16-15Off
10 Jul 202649.58 BRL4.0%48.14 BRL48.17 BRL-0.23-43Off
3 Jul 202647.68 BRL0.2%48.07 BRL48.14 BRL-0.48-0Off
26 Jun 202647.56 BRL0.4%48.09 BRL48.15 BRL-0.56-0Off
19 Jun 202647.38 BRL-1.5%48.16 BRL48.17 BRL-0.59-0Off
12 Jun 202648.12 BRL4.4%48.18 BRL48.18 BRL-0.61-6Off
5 Jun 202646.08 BRL-2.0%48.17 BRL48.19 BRL-0.64-0Off
29 May 202647.03 BRL-0.2%48.23 BRL48.24 BRL-0.56-6Off
22 May 202647.11 BRL1.2%48.34 BRL48.27 BRL-0.49-15Off
15 May 202646.55 BRL-2.8%48.42 BRL48.30 BRL-0.33-61Off
8 May 202647.90 BRL2.4%48.53 BRL48.34 BRL-0.14-19Off
1 May 202646.77 BRL-3.4%48.55 BRL48.36 BRL0.03-57Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.