MTG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MGIC Investment Corp · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty

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Latest close 30.04 USD
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 30.04 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%. Indicator stack 34/96 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.68% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 38/100 conviction; expected move 5.2%. News sentiment 57/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4712-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 12.3% over 12 weeks, and 16.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W6.4%
12W12.3%
26W12.9%
52W16.9%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change279.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change123.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum68/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
93.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
77.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
58.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-7.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-6.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
12.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
14.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MTG shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction38/100
Expected move5.2%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure50
Speculation7
Volatility51
Trend agreement41
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

24 positive · 32 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.47; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.68%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.68% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 4; Small Cap Core rank 14 SVQF85/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 150.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

MTG shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 5.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.2% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

MGIC Investment Corporation Just Recorded A 13% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next Insiders13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202630.04 USD1.3%26.90 USD23.38 USD1.321.169.9MOn
24 Jul 202629.65 USD0.6%26.86 USD23.30 USD1.160.868.0MOn
17 Jul 202629.47 USD4.7%26.85 USD23.21 USD1.06-0.3210.5MOff
10 Jul 202628.14 USD-0.3%26.85 USD23.12 USD0.66-6.298.9MOff
3 Jul 202628.23 USD1.4%26.87 USD23.04 USD0.35-4.847.3MOff
26 Jun 202627.84 USD6.8%26.85 USD22.95 USD0.07-4.459.8MOff
19 Jun 202626.06 USD1.0%26.85 USD22.87 USD-0.25-12.959.4MOff
12 Jun 202625.81 USD1.2%26.92 USD22.79 USD-0.31-13.408.8MOff
5 Jun 202625.51 USD1.1%26.99 USD22.72 USD-0.32-14.329.6MOff
29 May 202625.22 USD-3.0%27.06 USD22.65 USD-0.12-17.767.3MOff
22 May 202626.00 USD0.4%27.12 USD22.58 USD0.12-14.436.8MOff
15 May 202625.90 USD-3.2%27.15 USD22.50 USD0.39-14.408.1MOff
8 May 202626.75 USD2.4%27.17 USD22.43 USD0.50-11.8113.7MOff
1 May 202626.11 USD-8.3%27.15 USD22.34 USD0.26-12.2816.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.