IPGP NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

IPG Photonics Corporation · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

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Latest close 85.06 USD
-7.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.2%, after a -19.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 44/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 85.06 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.2% latest completed week
4W Return -19.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -18.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -19.2%. Indicator stack 45/22 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 18.0%. News sentiment 44/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.2%, after a -19.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3412-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -19.2% over four weeks, -18.6% over 12 weeks, and 13.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.2%
4W-19.2%
12W-18.6%
26W-8.0%
52W13.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-77.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-333.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
134.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
35.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
37.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-58.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

IPGP shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move18.0%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

6 positive · 35 neutral · 14 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+40.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-15.0%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-7.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis38/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Factors23/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 95 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

IPGP shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 18.0% Sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) Stock Forecasts Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202685.06 USD-7.2%110.8 USD86.82 USD-1.21-20.382.0MOff
24 Jul 202691.70 USD-12.1%110.5 USD86.97 USD-1.10-13.831.7MOff
17 Jul 2026104.3 USD-3.2%109.9 USD87.22 USD-0.94-3.581.6MOff
10 Jul 2026107.7 USD2.3%109.0 USD87.41 USD-0.72-4.381.9MOff
3 Jul 2026105.3 USD-1.8%107.9 USD87.59 USD-0.68-4.711.8MOn
26 Jun 2026107.2 USD-9.2%107.2 USD87.76 USD-0.58-1.952.0MOn
19 Jun 2026118.0 USD2.9%106.2 USD87.94 USD-0.593.421.8MOn
12 Jun 2026114.7 USD6.8%104.8 USD88.04 USD-0.633.601.8MOn
5 Jun 2026107.4 USD-6.2%103.6 USD88.17 USD-0.70-0.324.2MOn
29 May 2026114.5 USD-3.8%103.0 USD88.20 USD-0.641.811.8MOn
22 May 2026119.0 USD15.8%102.0 USD88.18 USD-0.479.223.2MOn
15 May 2026102.8 USD-1.7%100.9 USD88.16 USD-0.30-4.072.1MOn
8 May 2026104.5 USD-15.0%100.3 USD88.22 USD-0.01-2.566.3MOn
1 May 2026122.9 USD-1.3%99.54 USD88.26 USD0.1621.242.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.