AXTI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AXT Inc · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 60.43 USD
27.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 27.9%, after a 6.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 60.43 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 27.9% latest completed week
4W Return 6.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -48.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 27.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.7%. Indicator stack 52/26 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 32.4%. News sentiment 59/100 26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 27.9%, after a 6.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.7% over four weeks, -48.1% over 12 weeks, and 3047.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W27.9%
4W6.7%
12W-48.1%
26W225.9%
52W3047.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-76.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership50.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
32.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-12.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-14.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-0.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-3.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-3.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-12.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AXTI shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 32.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction47/100
Expected move32.4%
Put/call volume0.36
Pressure53
Speculation45
Volatility96
Trend agreement22
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

12 positive · 11 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move32.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-57.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+50.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-26.7%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+27.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains14
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses9
Recent vol16.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.5% / -14.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.57; 2 reversal markers Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 80; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options40/100

AXTI shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 32.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 32.4% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) Stock Rating Upgraded by Needham & Company LLC Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202660.43 USD27.9%61.91 USD14.64 USD-0.9850.0970.1MOff
24 Jul 202647.23 USD3.0%60.45 USD14.27 USD-1.1721.3131.5MOff
17 Jul 202645.86 USD-19.8%59.39 USD13.98 USD-1.0018.5147.0MOff
10 Jul 202657.21 USD1.0%58.35 USD13.71 USD-0.8444.7743.3MOn
3 Jul 202656.62 USD-19.3%56.93 USD13.36 USD-0.5649.8428.2MOn
26 Jun 202670.15 USD-17.1%55.43 USD13.02 USD-0.2492.5265.0MOn
19 Jun 202684.57 USD-13.0%53.45 USD12.59 USD0.03129.8442.3MOn
12 Jun 202697.18 USD9.1%50.93 USD12.07 USD0.63183.3145.5MOn
5 Jun 202689.04 USD-13.7%48.04 USD11.47 USD1.06180.3843.3MOn
29 May 2026103.2 USD-26.7%45.39 USD10.92 USD1.58227.4034.0MOn
22 May 2026140.8 USD13.8%42.21 USD10.28 USD1.98390.1048.0MOn
15 May 2026123.8 USD6.4%37.72 USD9.40 USD1.98380.6343.8MOn
8 May 2026116.4 USD21.2%33.74 USD8.63 USD2.02395.3960.0MOn
1 May 202696.00 USD26.1%30.00 USD7.91 USD2.00375.8161.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.