PONY NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares · Technology · Information Technology Services

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Latest close 7.87 USD
10.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 15.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 9d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 7.87 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 10.4% latest completed week
4W Return 15.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 10.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 15.2%. Indicator stack 15/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 9.6%. News sentiment 51/100 14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 9d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 15.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.2% over four weeks, -15.3% over 12 weeks, and -39.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.4%
4W15.2%
12W-15.3%
26W-43.3%
52W-39.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-45.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
28.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-98.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-91.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-26.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-26.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

PONY shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.14, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move9.6%
Put/call volume0.14
Pressure86
Speculation31
Volatility94
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

2 positive · 10 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings9dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-68.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+10.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol9.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -8.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors8/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 93; Small Cap Core rank 83 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

PONY shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.14, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.6% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

548,860 Shares in Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. $FIS Purchased by Sunriver Management LLC Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings9d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.87 USD10.4%10.61 USD13.15 USD-0.65-45.6020.9MOff
24 Jul 20267.13 USD7.1%10.89 USD13.21 USD-0.75-51.0018.6MOff
17 Jul 20266.66 USD1.1%11.15 USD13.28 USD-0.65-55.6115.6MOff
10 Jul 20266.59 USD-3.5%11.46 USD13.36 USD-0.51-58.4115.7MOff
3 Jul 20266.83 USD-0.6%11.71 USD13.44 USD-0.45-56.6620.1MOff
26 Jun 20266.87 USD-17.6%11.96 USD13.52 USD-0.45-56.5418.1MOff
19 Jun 20268.34 USD2.3%12.19 USD13.60 USD-0.34-50.2717.2MOff
12 Jun 20268.15 USD-5.5%12.28 USD13.67 USD-0.49-50.5819.5MOff
5 Jun 20268.62 USD-14.1%12.44 USD13.74 USD-0.64-47.0230.4MOff
29 May 202610.03 USD12.4%12.62 USD13.80 USD-0.78-41.8133.3MOff
22 May 20268.92 USD7.6%12.91 USD13.85 USD-1.05-47.7723.7MOff
15 May 20268.29 USD-10.8%13.23 USD13.91 USD-1.10-51.7223.4MOff
8 May 20269.29 USD-6.1%13.60 USD13.99 USD-1.06-47.0721.4MOff
1 May 20269.89 USD-7.5%13.96 USD14.05 USD-1.15-41.6415.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.