- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
R4
MCE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Renta 4 Banco, S.A. · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
19.45 EUR
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 2.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
19.45 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.97% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.4%.
Indicator stack
96/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.97%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
63/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 2.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4212-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.4% over four weeks, 1.8% over 12 weeks, and 12.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change4.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change24.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment63/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-3.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains7
Flat weeks8
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol0.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorES Financial Services
4-week rank8 / 14
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth92.9%
Trend92.9%active weekly trend signals
MD64.3%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryES Asset Management
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis43/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.42; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.97%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.97% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment63/100Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
Renta 4 Banco (BME:R4) Stock Profit Surge Meets A Wide Valuation Gap Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 19.45 EUR | 1.8% | 19.03 EUR | 13.60 EUR | -0.67 | -10.88 | 7.6K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 19.10 EUR | -0.3% | 19.03 EUR | 13.54 EUR | -0.93 | -11.97 | 11.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 19.15 EUR | 1.1% | 19.01 EUR | 13.47 EUR | -0.85 | -10.36 | 138.6K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.95 EUR | -0.3% | 18.99 EUR | 13.41 EUR | -0.86 | -12.30 | 5.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.00 EUR | -0.5% | 18.96 EUR | 13.34 EUR | -0.70 | -14.41 | 4.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 19.10 EUR | 0.0% | 18.96 EUR | 13.28 EUR | -0.61 | -12.32 | 2.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 19.10 EUR | 0.0% | 18.95 EUR | 13.22 EUR | -0.61 | -12.18 | 819 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 19.10 EUR | -0.3% | 18.94 EUR | 13.15 EUR | -0.52 | -9.75 | 585 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 19.15 EUR | 0.8% | 18.94 EUR | 13.09 EUR | -0.43 | -7.53 | 325 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.00 EUR | -0.5% | 18.94 EUR | 13.02 EUR | -0.27 | -8.29 | 10.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 19.10 EUR | 0.0% | 18.94 EUR | 12.96 EUR | -0.01 | -5.77 | 7.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 19.10 EUR | 0.0% | 18.92 EUR | 12.89 EUR | 0.09 | -3.64 | 5.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 19.10 EUR | -1.5% | 18.91 EUR | 12.83 EUR | 0.23 | -4.85 | 6.6K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 19.40 EUR | 1.0% | 18.91 EUR | 12.76 EUR | 0.32 | -2.62 | 9.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.