- The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BBVA
MCE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
Latest close
24.20 EUR
5.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
79
out of 100
Latest Close
24.20 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
27.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%.
Indicator stack
98/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.64%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 6.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8712-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.87Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 27.9% over 12 weeks, and 77.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change61.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change56.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
2 positive · 14 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+5.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorES Financial Services
4-week rank2 / 14
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth92.9%
Trend92.9%active weekly trend signals
MD64.3%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryES Banks - Diversified
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape79/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 79/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis74/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.87; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.64%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.64% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BME:BBVA) Following Strong Q2 And Buyback Faces A Pricey Fair Value View Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 24.20 EUR | 5.9% | 19.90 EUR | 12.16 EUR | 1.26 | 14.03 | 49.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 22.86 EUR | 3.6% | 19.75 EUR | 12.04 EUR | 1.13 | 9.31 | 36.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 22.07 EUR | -1.8% | 19.63 EUR | 11.93 EUR | 1.04 | 8.13 | 38.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 22.48 EUR | -1.1% | 19.53 EUR | 11.83 EUR | 1.02 | 9.75 | 38.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 22.74 EUR | 5.9% | 19.40 EUR | 11.72 EUR | 0.78 | 8.96 | 40.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 21.47 EUR | 0.6% | 19.25 EUR | 11.61 EUR | 0.42 | 5.65 | 6.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 21.34 EUR | 6.2% | 19.14 EUR | 11.51 EUR | 0.29 | 5.86 | 41.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 20.09 EUR | 3.5% | 19.00 EUR | 11.41 EUR | 0.04 | 3.17 | 11.9M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 19.41 EUR | -3.5% | 18.92 EUR | 11.32 EUR | -0.16 | 2.31 | 8.8M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 20.11 EUR | 4.2% | 18.84 EUR | 11.23 EUR | -0.27 | 6.24 | 44.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 19.30 EUR | 2.2% | 18.72 EUR | 11.14 EUR | -0.51 | 4.48 | 39.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 18.88 EUR | -0.3% | 18.61 EUR | 11.05 EUR | -0.68 | 4.66 | 42.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 18.92 EUR | 0.6% | 18.51 EUR | 10.96 EUR | -0.61 | 3.70 | 63.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 18.81 EUR | 1.2% | 18.38 EUR | 10.88 EUR | -0.56 | 4.01 | 35.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.