CAR BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Avis Budget Group, Inc. · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Latest close 8,365 ARS
-14.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.5%, after a -12.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 8,365 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -14.5% latest completed week
4W Return -12.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.5%, after a -12.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.3% over four weeks, -0.7% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-14.5%
4W-12.3%
12W-0.7%
26W26.5%
52W-2.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-115.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-75.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

4 positive · 17 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-81.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+77.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-57.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-14.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.1% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Rental & Leasing Services
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-9.0%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268,365 ARS-14.5%9,329 ARS6,481 ARS-0.71-23.6682.0KOff
24 Jul 20269,780 ARS0.1%9,303 ARS6,460 ARS-0.62-11.177.8KOn
17 Jul 20269,775 ARS4.0%9,247 ARS6,427 ARS-0.51-9.7523.8KOn
10 Jul 20269,400 ARS-1.4%9,181 ARS6,394 ARS-0.42-16.084.4KOn
3 Jul 20269,535 ARS-4.3%9,123 ARS6,365 ARS-0.33-13.5235.8KOn
26 Jun 20269,965 ARS-7.9%9,065 ARS6,333 ARS-0.23-8.354.7KOn
19 Jun 202610,820 ARS0.8%8,995 ARS6,298 ARS-0.12-5.94176On
12 Jun 202610,730 ARS4.9%8,889 ARS6,257 ARS-0.05-8.192.7KOn
5 Jun 202610,230 ARS1.2%8,794 ARS6,214 ARS0.02-4.548.1KOn
29 May 202610,110 ARS5.0%8,723 ARS6,173 ARS0.11-7.74114.9KOn
22 May 20269,625 ARS11.3%8,647 ARS6,129 ARS0.25-1.8961.8KOn
15 May 20268,645 ARS2.7%8,640 ARS6,088 ARS0.47-6.7987.5KOn
8 May 20268,420 ARS-17.9%8,648 ARS6,052 ARS1.00-10.68146.6KOn
1 May 202610,260 ARS-13.0%8,658 ARS6,016 ARS1.466.90275.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.