- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
GTCO
LSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
Latest close
0.10 USD
-0.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 46.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 10.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
0.10 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-0.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 15 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 29.66% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.9%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 29.66%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 46.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.2%, after a 10.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.9% over four weeks, -0.2% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
0 positive · 14 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
31 Jul
Weeks higher4 of 146 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-0.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains0
Flat weeks4
Modest losses3
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split4/6Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.4% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Financial Services
4-week rank2 / 100
Group average-0.5%
Trend breadth62.0%
Trend62.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Banks - Diversified
4-week rank1 / 7
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth71.4%
Trend71.4%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS85.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis8/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 29.66%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 29.66% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Guaranty Trust Holding Company PLC (GTCO) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.10 USD | -0.2% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 9.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.10 USD | 11.1% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 37.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.09 USD | 0.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 99.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.09 USD | 0.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 17.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.09 USD | -6.3% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 6.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.10 USD | -8.6% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 666.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.10 USD | 5.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 3.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.10 USD | 0.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 643.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.10 USD | 0.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 15.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.10 USD | -9.1% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 392.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.11 USD | -3.5% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 36.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.11 USD | 14.0% | - | 0.10 USD | 0.00 | - | 51.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.10 USD | 7.3% | - | 0.10 USD | - | - | 35.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.09 USD | -2.9% | - | 0.09 USD | - | - | 163.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.