ZGN NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ermenegildo Zegna NV · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

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Latest close 14.32 USD
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 9.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 35d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 14.32 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 9.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 90.4% 47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.69% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.9%. Indicator stack 95/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.69% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 10.6%. News sentiment 55/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 35d Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 9.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.9% over four weeks, 15.1% over 12 weeks, and 56.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W9.9%
12W15.1%
26W48.9%
52W56.3%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-74.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum87/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-25.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
3.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ZGN shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 10.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction34/100
Expected move10.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure8
Speculation0
Volatility70
Trend agreement93
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

15 positive · 27 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings35dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis90/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.92; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.69%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.69% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors88/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 80; Small Cap Core rank 41 SVQF71/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 293.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options58/100

ZGN shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 10.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 10.6% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

Earnings call transcript: Zegna Group posts 11% organic growth in Q2 2026 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings35d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

0 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202614.32 USD3.0%11.86 USD10.55 USD0.3522.725.6MOn
17 Jul 202613.90 USD3.4%11.73 USD10.56 USD0.5619.126.2MOn
10 Jul 202613.44 USD3.0%11.62 USD10.56 USD0.8113.986.6MOn
3 Jul 202613.05 USD0.2%11.52 USD10.56 USD1.1212.705.3MOn
26 Jun 202613.03 USD-5.2%11.44 USD10.56 USD1.4015.388.1MOn
19 Jun 202613.75 USD-5.6%11.36 USD10.56 USD1.5419.415.2MOn
12 Jun 202614.57 USD0.3%11.25 USD10.55 USD1.4728.319.3MOn
5 Jun 202614.52 USD-1.2%11.09 USD10.52 USD1.3029.447.9MOn
29 May 202614.70 USD10.5%10.93 USD10.50 USD1.2828.664.6MOn
22 May 202613.30 USD5.7%10.78 USD10.48 USD1.2618.843.0MOn
15 May 202612.58 USD-4.4%10.69 USD10.48 USD1.2713.883.5MOn
8 May 202613.16 USD5.8%10.61 USD10.47 USD1.1819.774.3MOn
1 May 202612.44 USD4.0%10.47 USD10.47 USD0.8616.384.9MOn
24 Apr 202611.96 USD-1.6%10.40 USD10.47 USD0.3713.433.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.