TDG MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TransDigm Group Incorporated · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 22,000 MXN
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 21.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -5.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 22,000 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -5.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio - vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 22.69% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 21.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -5.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2312-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, 10.5% over 12 weeks, and -26.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-5.4%
12W10.5%
26W-7.0%
52W-26.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

12 positive · 26 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher6 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains3
Flat weeks11
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split12/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202622,000 MXN0.0%21,802 MXN22,911 MXN0.83-7.080Off
24 Jul 202622,000 MXN0.0%21,857 MXN22,865 MXN0.98-7.290Off
17 Jul 202622,000 MXN-3.3%21,912 MXN22,819 MXN1.13-8.576Off
10 Jul 202622,740 MXN-2.2%22,017 MXN22,774 MXN1.08-6.29558Off
3 Jul 202623,250 MXN0.3%22,097 MXN22,725 MXN0.89-5.8124Off
26 Jun 202623,188 MXN9.2%22,159 MXN22,662 MXN0.69-6.9774Off
19 Jun 202621,235 MXN0.0%22,224 MXN22,600 MXN0.57-16.010Off
12 Jun 202621,235 MXN0.0%22,354 MXN22,550 MXN0.28-17.020Off
5 Jun 202621,235 MXN-2.7%22,457 MXN22,501 MXN0.02-15.420Off
29 May 202621,825 MXN8.5%22,557 MXN22,451 MXN-0.30-16.7847Off
22 May 202620,109 MXN0.0%22,638 MXN22,398 MXN-0.66-23.600Off
15 May 202620,109 MXN1.0%22,780 MXN22,355 MXN-0.57-23.8413Off
8 May 202619,906 MXN0.0%22,896 MXN22,313 MXN-0.57-27.240Off
1 May 202619,906 MXN-5.2%23,019 MXN22,271 MXN-0.50-25.7926Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.