GCARSOA1 MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. · Industrials · Conglomerates

Latest close 148.3 MXN
4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 17.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 148.3 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.7% latest completed week
4W Return 17.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 17.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.57

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.4% over four weeks, 6.3% over 12 weeks, and 14.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.7%
4W17.4%
12W6.3%
26W24.7%
52W14.7%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-69.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change285.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Conglomerates
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average11.8%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026148.3 MXN4.7%132.3 MXN130.3 MXN-0.3711.671.5MOn
24 Jul 2026141.6 MXN5.8%131.3 MXN130.2 MXN-0.707.511.4MOn
17 Jul 2026133.8 MXN6.0%130.5 MXN130.1 MXN-0.810.931.2MOn
10 Jul 2026126.3 MXN0.0%129.9 MXN130.1 MXN-0.46-5.051.1MOn
3 Jul 2026126.3 MXN-5.1%129.7 MXN130.0 MXN-0.22-6.301.1MOn
26 Jun 2026133.1 MXN-6.4%129.6 MXN130.0 MXN-0.16-1.92172.9KOn
19 Jun 2026142.2 MXN2.9%129.4 MXN129.9 MXN0.113.752.8MOn
12 Jun 2026138.2 MXN7.3%128.8 MXN129.8 MXN-0.060.27230.2KOn
5 Jun 2026128.8 MXN-5.0%128.4 MXN129.6 MXN0.08-4.15298.1KOn
29 May 2026135.6 MXN1.1%128.5 MXN129.5 MXN0.49-2.874.4MOn
22 May 2026134.1 MXN-2.9%128.4 MXN129.3 MXN0.44-3.711.1MOn
15 May 2026138.2 MXN-0.9%128.0 MXN129.1 MXN0.78-0.491.4MOn
8 May 2026139.4 MXN5.2%127.5 MXN128.9 MXN1.07-2.401.8MOn
1 May 2026132.6 MXN-8.8%126.9 MXN128.6 MXN1.24-4.711.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.