PGEO JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Pertamina Geothermal Energy Tbk · Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Latest close 1,010 IDR
2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 15.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 1,010 IDR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return 15.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 15.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.4% over four weeks, 1.5% over 12 weeks, and -37.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.5%
4W15.4%
12W1.5%
26W-4.8%
52W-37.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change368.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6320.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

2 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.9%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,010 IDR2.5%989.4 IDR1,066 IDR1.2811.1567.5MOff
24 Jul 2026985.0 IDR-2.0%991.6 IDR1,064 IDR0.868.36139.9MOff
17 Jul 20261,005 IDR0.0%993.2 IDR1,062 IDR0.3510.2891.5MOff
10 Jul 20261,005 IDR14.9%995.3 IDR1,060 IDR0.0014.18133.9MOff
3 Jul 2026875.0 IDR2.9%998.8 IDR1,059 IDR-0.48-0.1862.5MOff
26 Jun 2026850.0 IDR-5.0%1,008 IDR1,058 IDR-0.66-3.936.4MOff
19 Jun 2026895.0 IDR3.5%1,017 IDR1,058 IDR-0.64-3.9212.4MOff
12 Jun 2026865.0 IDR4.8%1,025 IDR1,057 IDR-0.66-5.0811.6MOff
5 Jun 2026825.0 IDR-7.8%1,034 IDR1,056 IDR-0.41-3.2717.4MOff
29 May 2026895.0 IDR-3.2%1,047 IDR1,056 IDR-0.02-4.4860.4MOff
22 May 2026925.0 IDR-10.2%1,058 IDR1,055 IDR-0.00-2.16121.7MOff
15 May 20261,030 IDR3.5%1,069 IDR1,053 IDR-0.25-0.3955.0MOff
8 May 2026995.0 IDR1.5%1,075 IDR1,051 IDR-0.54-7.30171.4MOff
1 May 2026980.0 IDR3.0%1,089 IDR1,048 IDR-0.80-8.3592.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.