MDIA JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Intermedia Capital Tbk · Communication Services · Broadcasting

Latest close 191.0 IDR
50.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 128.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 50.4%, after a 169.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 191.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 50.4% latest completed week
4W Return 169.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 46.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.01% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 128.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 50.4%, after a 169.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.53

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 169.0% over four weeks, 46.9% over 12 weeks, and 536.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W50.4%
4W169.0%
12W46.9%
26W235.1%
52W536.7%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change114.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership231.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change369.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility30.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+89.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-31.0%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+50.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol30.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol24.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew24.5% / -12.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026191.0 IDR50.4%83.70 IDR41.57 IDR0.06231.305.1BOn
24 Jul 2026127.0 IDR89.6%80.50 IDR40.67 IDR-0.36134.713.3BOff
17 Jul 202667.00 IDR-4.3%79.13 IDR40.17 IDR-0.5829.25257.6MOff
10 Jul 202670.00 IDR-1.4%80.00 IDR40.06 IDR-0.4943.24747.8MOff
3 Jul 202671.00 IDR16.4%79.90 IDR39.94 IDR-0.4249.27422.8MOff
26 Jun 202661.00 IDR-14.1%79.13 IDR39.80 IDR-0.4030.4656.1MOff
19 Jun 202671.00 IDR-1.4%78.13 IDR39.73 IDR-0.2347.56106.9MOff
12 Jun 202672.00 IDR20.0%76.83 IDR39.60 IDR0.0557.02337.0MOn
5 Jun 202660.00 IDR-31.0%75.57 IDR39.46 IDR0.3243.5345.6MOn
29 May 202687.00 IDR-20.9%74.67 IDR39.39 IDR0.7993.69409.9MOn
22 May 2026110.0 IDR-3.5%72.90 IDR39.15 IDR1.03150.562.0BOn
15 May 2026114.0 IDR-12.3%70.37 IDR38.77 IDR1.10147.611.1BOn
8 May 2026130.0 IDR0.0%67.70 IDR38.36 IDR0.98183.084.3BOn
1 May 2026130.0 IDR1.6%64.77 IDR37.85 IDR0.48196.442.3BOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.