MLI NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mueller Industries Inc · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

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Latest close 66.41 USD
3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 17.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 77d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 66.41 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 17.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 90.4% 47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.32% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.5%. Indicator stack 53/29 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.32% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 5.8%. News sentiment 59/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 77d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 17.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6212-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.5% over four weeks, -5.4% over 12 weeks, and 61.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.9%
4W17.5%
12W-5.4%
26W-1.9%
52W61.1%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-186.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change175.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
24.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
39.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-30.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MLI shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.29, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move5.8%
Put/call volume0.29
Pressure64
Speculation4
Volatility46
Trend agreement30
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 5

8 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

27 positive · 30 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings77dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.4%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-13.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis60/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.62; 12 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.32%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.32% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 79 SVQF84/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 160.5 of 1014 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

MLI shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.29, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.8% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

Stronger First-Half 2026 Earnings Might Change The Case For Investing In Mueller Industries (MLI) Insiders8 / 5

8 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings77d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202666.41 USD3.9%62.26 USD39.87 USD-0.346.207.1MOn
24 Jul 202663.91 USD8.1%61.98 USD39.57 USD-0.303.848.0MOff
17 Jul 202659.13 USD3.8%61.81 USD39.29 USD-0.15-4.129.4MOff
10 Jul 202656.99 USD0.9%61.75 USD39.05 USD0.22-8.768.3MOff
3 Jul 202656.50 USD-11.9%61.74 USD38.82 USD0.39-8.176.9MOn
26 Jun 202664.10 USD-6.7%61.73 USD38.58 USD0.506.683.7MOn
19 Jun 202668.69 USD-0.5%61.41 USD38.31 USD0.4412.214.4MOn
12 Jun 202669.05 USD4.0%60.89 USD38.00 USD0.3214.642.6MOn
5 Jun 202666.40 USD3.5%60.35 USD37.68 USD0.3411.692.6MOn
29 May 202664.13 USD-3.6%59.91 USD37.38 USD0.385.822.5MOn
22 May 202666.52 USD-2.2%59.52 USD37.09 USD0.3511.862.9MOn
15 May 202668.04 USD-3.1%59.01 USD36.78 USD0.2816.092.7MOn
8 May 202670.23 USD5.9%58.37 USD36.47 USD0.0920.822.6MOn
1 May 202666.34 USD-2.2%57.63 USD36.13 USD-0.1617.652.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.