ODFL MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. · Industrials · Trucking

Latest close 3,640 MXN
-6.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.7%, after a -5.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 3,640 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.7% latest completed week
4W Return -5.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.36% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.7%, after a -5.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, 6.7% over 12 weeks, and 34.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.7%
4W-5.4%
12W6.7%
26W21.3%
52W34.4%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-131.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

12 positive · 18 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-6.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Trucking
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263,640 MXN-6.7%3,551 MXN3,415 MXN-0.2012.0615On
24 Jul 20263,900 MXN0.0%3,525 MXN3,413 MXN0.1821.390On
17 Jul 20263,900 MXN-1.3%3,490 MXN3,409 MXN0.3521.1682On
10 Jul 20263,950 MXN2.6%3,448 MXN3,406 MXN0.4623.1698On
3 Jul 20263,849 MXN0.9%3,405 MXN3,400 MXN0.6419.201.2KOn
26 Jun 20263,817 MXN0.3%3,371 MXN3,395 MXN0.6818.02379On
19 Jun 20263,806 MXN-10.2%3,326 MXN3,388 MXN0.6116.990On
12 Jun 20264,237 MXN-0.0%3,282 MXN3,380 MXN0.4229.9110On
5 Jun 20264,238 MXN13.3%3,222 MXN3,371 MXN-0.0333.955On
29 May 20263,741 MXN6.2%3,169 MXN3,361 MXN-0.2514.54389On
22 May 20263,521 MXN8.4%3,129 MXN3,355 MXN-0.148.2139On
15 May 20263,249 MXN-4.8%3,101 MXN3,350 MXN0.180.2872On
8 May 20263,411 MXN-7.6%3,082 MXN3,347 MXN0.562.09238On
1 May 20263,692 MXN-3.4%3,058 MXN3,342 MXN0.9213.55114On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.