TX MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: TX weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Ternium S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 810.0 MXN

5.1% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 56 out of 100

Latest Close 810.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026

1W Return 5.1% latest completed week

4W Return 4.5% short-term follow-through

12W Return 5.0% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.

What could go wrong

Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.01% based on similar historical setup states.
2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 5.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%. Indicator stack 93/37 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.01% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 57/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 4.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

578.3 MXN 80.5% 866.0 MXN

Range location80.5%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance7.5%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap20.9%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-6.5%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 5.0% over 12 weeks, and 38.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%

4W4.5%

12W5.0%

26W9.5%

52W38.2%

Active trend streak15 weeks

Active weeks in one year45

Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure-0.17Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change-117.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership12.38Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change73.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

6 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-6.5%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher12 of 2611 weeks finished lower.

Best week+8.6%Week of 29 May.

Worst week-6.3%Week of 3 Jul.

Latest week+5.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4

Modest gains8

Flat weeks3

Modest losses8

Sharp losses3

Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split27/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew3.1% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorMX Basic Materials

4-week rank5 / 53

Group average-3.5%

Trend breadth35.8%

Trend35.8%active weekly trend signals

MD30.2%positive activity pressure

RS43.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GEVO · MEX30.6%CLF · MEX20.0%GGBN · MEX14.2%MFRISCOA-1 · MEX9.2%TX · MEX4.5%

IndustryMX Steel

4-week rank3 / 7

Group average3.4%

Trend breadth71.4%

Trend71.4%active weekly trend signals

MD57.1%positive activity pressure

RS71.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

CLF · MEX20.0%GGBN · MEX14.2%TX · MEX4.5%ACXN · MEX1.8%ICHB · MEX-0.0%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.70; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.01%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.01% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (TX) latest stock news and headlines Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	810.0 MXN	5.1%	753.7 MXN	670.0 MXN	-0.17	12.38	1.3K	On
17 Jul 2026	770.5 MXN	-1.2%	749.5 MXN	669.5 MXN	0.08	6.85	5.3K	On
10 Jul 2026	780.0 MXN	7.4%	746.4 MXN	669.3 MXN	0.34	8.64	7.9K	On
3 Jul 2026	726.5 MXN	-6.3%	743.0 MXN	668.9 MXN	0.56	0.58	192	On
26 Jun 2026	775.0 MXN	-4.4%	742.1 MXN	668.6 MXN	1.00	7.13	58.5K	On
19 Jun 2026	811.1 MXN	-2.1%	738.0 MXN	668.0 MXN	1.09	11.64	0	On
12 Jun 2026	828.1 MXN	-4.4%	732.8 MXN	667.1 MXN	0.96	13.93	0	On
5 Jun 2026	866.0 MXN	1.9%	728.0 MXN	666.3 MXN	0.78	22.95	6	On
29 May 2026	850.0 MXN	8.6%	721.2 MXN	665.4 MXN	0.44	17.16	247	On
22 May 2026	782.5 MXN	0.0%	715.4 MXN	664.2 MXN	0.14	8.91	0	On
15 May 2026	782.5 MXN	1.7%	711.4 MXN	663.6 MXN	-0.03	9.91	134	On
8 May 2026	769.5 MXN	-0.3%	707.6 MXN	663.0 MXN	-0.23	5.60	12	On
1 May 2026	771.8 MXN	3.8%	703.9 MXN	662.2 MXN	-0.45	9.30	350	On
24 Apr 2026	743.8 MXN	0.8%	699.6 MXN	661.5 MXN	-0.72	3.41	56	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.