NE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Noble Corporation plc · Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

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Latest close 42.40 USD
-2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 11.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 42.40 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.0% latest completed week
4W Return 11.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.6%. Indicator stack 49/36 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 33/100 conviction; expected move 6.8%. News sentiment 51/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 11.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.6% over four weeks, -14.5% over 12 weeks, and 74.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.0%
4W11.6%
12W-14.5%
26W21.6%
52W74.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change307.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework41/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
45.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-50.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
10.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

NE shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.51, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction33/100
Expected move6.8%
Put/call volume1.51
Pressure-13
Speculation8
Volatility51
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

12 positive · 40 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-11.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis43/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.43; 6 reversal markers Factors70/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 27 SVQF41/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 603.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

NE shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.51, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 6.8% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Will Weaker Q2 Results and Lower 2026 Outlook Change Noble's (NE) Capital Returns Narrative? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202642.40 USD-2.0%43.54 USD34.94 USD-0.835.9612.7MOff
24 Jul 202643.26 USD4.2%43.08 USD34.96 USD-1.029.977.7MOff
17 Jul 202641.50 USD3.8%42.55 USD34.97 USD-1.055.497.3MOff
10 Jul 202639.97 USD5.2%42.08 USD34.98 USD-1.050.566.6MOff
3 Jul 202637.99 USD-0.9%41.72 USD34.99 USD-0.98-2.886.7MOff
26 Jun 202638.33 USD-8.0%41.52 USD35.00 USD-0.920.3913.4MOn
19 Jun 202641.68 USD-11.2%41.23 USD34.98 USD-0.947.007.9MOn
12 Jun 202646.93 USD3.3%40.80 USD34.92 USD-0.7222.024.7MOn
5 Jun 202645.41 USD-1.3%40.21 USD34.83 USD-0.4319.485.3MOn
29 May 202645.99 USD-10.6%39.64 USD34.76 USD-0.1018.746.0MOn
22 May 202651.45 USD-1.7%39.05 USD34.68 USD0.3735.856.7MOn
15 May 202652.34 USD5.5%38.32 USD34.57 USD0.5741.065.9MOn
8 May 202649.61 USD-0.8%37.45 USD34.44 USD0.6835.687.3MOn
1 May 202650.00 USD2.0%36.66 USD34.33 USD0.8941.5013.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.