PCAR BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PACCAR Inc · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Latest close 69,775 ARS
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 7.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 69,775 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return 7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 23.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 6.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.79% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 6.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5012-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.4% over four weeks, 23.3% over 12 weeks, and 58.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W7.4%
12W23.3%
26W13.5%
52W58.6%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change578.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change192.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

6 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202669,775 ARS-1.2%60,598 ARS35,250 ARS0.991.8610.7KOn
24 Jul 202670,625 ARS6.6%60,183 ARS34,804 ARS0.893.521.8KOn
17 Jul 202666,275 ARS1.8%59,722 ARS34,352 ARS0.58-0.16541On
10 Jul 202665,125 ARS0.3%59,434 ARS33,927 ARS0.20-4.192.7KOn
3 Jul 202664,950 ARS5.1%59,144 ARS33,511 ARS-0.21-2.021.5KOff
26 Jun 202661,800 ARS7.4%58,824 ARS33,095 ARS-0.55-4.50790Off
19 Jun 202657,550 ARS-2.9%58,519 ARS32,699 ARS-0.80-15.5259Off
12 Jun 202659,250 ARS0.7%58,326 ARS32,331 ARS-0.83-14.56312Off
5 Jun 202658,825 ARS7.8%57,925 ARS31,952 ARS-0.86-7.762.0KOff
29 May 202654,575 ARS0.9%57,580 ARS31,575 ARS-0.88-16.501.0KOff
22 May 202654,100 ARS-1.1%57,401 ARS31,226 ARS-0.73-7.86554Off
15 May 202654,675 ARS-3.4%57,338 ARS30,880 ARS-0.56-1.79499On
8 May 202656,600 ARS-5.1%57,139 ARS30,530 ARS-0.46-0.22803On
1 May 202659,650 ARS-5.7%56,805 ARS30,168 ARS-0.383.175.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.