- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ISP
MIL
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
6.56 EUR
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
75
out of 100
Latest Close
6.56 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
16.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%.
Indicator stack
69/88
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.58%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 6.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8612-week average 0.65
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, 16.7% over 12 weeks, and 40.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change111.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change330.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
9 positive · 16 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Financial Services
4-week rank5 / 31
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth67.7%
Trend67.7%active weekly trend signals
MD67.7%positive activity pressure
RS45.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Banks - Regional
4-week rank4 / 12
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD83.3%positive activity pressure
RS83.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape74/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 74/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.86; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.58%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.58% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
Upgraded Earnings Guidance And €3.8bn Interim Dividend Could Be A Game Changer For Intesa Sanpaolo (BIT:ISP) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.56 EUR | 1.9% | 5.68 EUR | 3.94 EUR | 1.60 | 4.92 | 281.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.44 EUR | 2.5% | 5.66 EUR | 3.91 EUR | 1.46 | 3.84 | 244.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.28 EUR | 0.4% | 5.63 EUR | 3.89 EUR | 1.21 | 1.30 | 252.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.26 EUR | 1.5% | 5.61 EUR | 3.86 EUR | 1.03 | -0.37 | 260.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.17 EUR | 3.6% | 5.59 EUR | 3.83 EUR | 0.76 | -2.13 | 231.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.95 EUR | -3.7% | 5.56 EUR | 3.80 EUR | 0.46 | -2.67 | 51.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.18 EUR | 5.8% | 5.54 EUR | 3.78 EUR | 0.44 | -1.98 | 137.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.84 EUR | 2.9% | 5.51 EUR | 3.75 EUR | 0.28 | -4.88 | 98.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.67 EUR | -2.3% | 5.50 EUR | 3.72 EUR | 0.19 | -4.64 | 32.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.81 EUR | 3.4% | 5.48 EUR | 3.70 EUR | 0.21 | -2.70 | 242.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.62 EUR | 1.3% | 5.46 EUR | 3.67 EUR | 0.02 | -4.84 | 230.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.54 EUR | -1.3% | 5.45 EUR | 3.65 EUR | -0.19 | -5.31 | 295.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.62 EUR | 0.7% | 5.43 EUR | 3.62 EUR | -0.26 | -4.32 | 317.6M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 5.58 EUR | 2.0% | 5.41 EUR | 3.60 EUR | -0.43 | -2.85 | 145.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.