HI91 GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Latest close 277.2 EUR
-3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.7%, after a -6.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 277.2 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.7% latest completed week
4W Return -6.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 5.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 28.96% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.7%, after a -6.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 5.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
16 Jan 23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9412-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.6% over four weeks, -4.6% over 12 weeks, and 106.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.7%
4W-6.6%
12W-4.6%
26W7.3%
52W106.4%
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-369.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-54.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth66/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
42.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
32.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-0.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
7.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.9%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 22 May.
Latest week-3.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Lodging
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-5.8%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026277.2 EUR-3.7%272.1 EUR164.8 EUR-0.2416.3494On
24 Jul 2026287.9 EUR-1.0%270.8 EUR163.9 EUR0.0024.7511On
17 Jul 2026290.9 EUR-1.8%269.1 EUR162.9 EUR0.2228.9828On
10 Jul 2026296.3 EUR-0.2%267.6 EUR161.9 EUR0.2631.845On
12 Jun 2026296.8 EUR-0.5%265.6 EUR160.8 EUR0.0936.150On
5 Jun 2026298.3 EUR1.2%263.4 EUR159.7 EUR0.0638.0620On
29 May 2026294.7 EUR6.9%261.2 EUR158.6 EUR0.0336.4827On
22 May 2026275.7 EUR-5.1%255.9 EUR157.5 EUR-0.0130.5820On
15 May 2026290.6 EUR0.0%251.2 EUR156.6 EUR0.1344.820On
8 May 2026290.6 EUR0.0%246.0 EUR155.6 EUR0.1044.660On
1 May 2026290.6 EUR0.0%240.8 EUR154.6 EUR0.0147.070On
24 Apr 2026290.6 EUR0.0%235.5 EUR153.5 EUR-0.1650.250On
17 Apr 2026290.6 EUR5.9%230.3 EUR152.5 EUR-0.3248.915On
10 Apr 2026274.4 EUR3.5%225.1 EUR151.4 EUR-0.4847.8224On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.