- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
CDZ0
GER
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MHP Hotel AG · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Latest close
1.40 EUR
-1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
1.40 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
25.0%
13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.4%.
Indicator stack
14/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -1.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5412-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, 1.4% over 12 weeks, and -0.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-600.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength65/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework95/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -10.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 24.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 5.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -3.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -6.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -6.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
3 positive · 3 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank43 / 86
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth32.6%
Trend32.6%active weekly trend signals
MD57.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Lodging
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-5.8%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.54; 2 reversal markers Factors51/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 19; Buyback Yield rank 97; Small Cap Core rank 42 SVQF95/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 18.0 of 372 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
MHP Hotel AG Revenue Breakdown – XETR:CDZ0 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.40 EUR | -1.4% | 1.42 EUR | 1.32 EUR | -0.42 | -6.75 | 48.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.42 EUR | 5.2% | 1.41 EUR | 1.32 EUR | -0.24 | -3.60 | 33.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.35 EUR | -1.5% | 1.42 EUR | 1.32 EUR | -0.10 | -7.45 | 26.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.37 EUR | -3.5% | 1.42 EUR | 1.32 EUR | 0.13 | -7.13 | 19.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.42 EUR | -2.1% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.08 | -6.56 | 84.3K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.45 EUR | 1.4% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.13 | -0.54 | 12.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.43 EUR | 7.5% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.34 | -3.26 | 3.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.33 EUR | -8.9% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.61 | -8.99 | 2.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.46 EUR | -3.3% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.68 | -0.91 | 1.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.51 EUR | 0.7% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.26 | 1.01 | 105.0K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.50 EUR | 7.1% | 1.42 EUR | 1.31 EUR | 0.06 | 1.21 | 213.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.40 EUR | 1.4% | 1.41 EUR | 1.31 EUR | -0.41 | -1.90 | 26.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.38 EUR | -4.2% | 1.42 EUR | 1.30 EUR | -0.50 | -4.95 | 5.1K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.44 EUR | 2.9% | 1.42 EUR | 1.30 EUR | -0.25 | -0.87 | 52.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.