MTSI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 251.4 USD
-5.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -22.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 251.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.8% latest completed week
4W Return -22.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -30.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -22.0%. Indicator stack 54/18 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 18.5%. News sentiment 49/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -22.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.92

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -22.0% over four weeks, -30.1% over 12 weeks, and 84.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.8%
4W-22.0%
12W-30.1%
26W14.8%
52W84.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.94Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-190.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-85.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework9/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
115.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
19.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
73.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
55.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
27.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
44.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MTSI shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.18, expected move of 18.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction50/100
Expected move18.5%
Put/call volume0.18
Pressure74
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

10 positive · 40 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-16.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-5.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis71/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.75; 9 reversal markers Factors52/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 40 SVQF9/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 662.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

MTSI shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.18, expected move of 18.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 18.5% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

What Makes MACOM Technology (MTSI) a Resilient Player in High-Growth Markets? Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

1 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026251.4 USD-5.8%280.3 USD145.2 USD-0.944.978.9MOff
24 Jul 2026267.0 USD-0.1%277.8 USD144.1 USD-0.6812.825.4MOn
17 Jul 2026267.4 USD-13.3%274.7 USD142.8 USD-0.0812.087.3MOn
10 Jul 2026308.5 USD-4.3%271.6 USD141.5 USD0.5324.878.6MOn
3 Jul 2026322.3 USD-12.7%267.2 USD140.0 USD1.0434.159.4MOn
26 Jun 2026369.2 USD-5.7%262.6 USD138.3 USD1.3256.7711.2MOn
19 Jun 2026391.4 USD3.0%256.1 USD136.4 USD1.3461.176.6MOn
12 Jun 2026379.9 USD10.0%248.4 USD134.2 USD1.3863.167.7MOn
5 Jun 2026345.4 USD-5.3%241.1 USD132.2 USD1.4054.3710.5MOn
29 May 2026364.6 USD-5.5%235.3 USD130.4 USD1.5458.056.8MOn
22 May 2026386.0 USD2.8%228.1 USD128.4 USD1.3874.937.1MOn
15 May 2026375.6 USD4.4%219.9 USD126.3 USD1.1675.578.4MOn
8 May 2026359.9 USD26.6%211.9 USD124.3 USD0.8870.869.0MOn
1 May 2026284.2 USD-1.2%204.0 USD122.4 USD0.5444.814.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.