AGNC MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AGNC Investment Corp. · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

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Latest close 186.0 MXN
-0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 186.0 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.5% latest completed week
4W Return -2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.94% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.5%. Indicator stack 23/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.94% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a -2.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, -0.3% over 12 weeks, and 5.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.5%
4W-2.5%
12W-0.3%
26W-6.3%
52W5.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change617.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-108.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

5 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-4.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-0.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Reit - Mortgage
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-2.5%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AGNC · MEX-2.5%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape51/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.94%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.94% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

AGNC Investment (AGNC) Stock Could Be Undervalued After A 67% Three Year Run Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026186.0 MXN-0.5%188.7 MXN180.6 MXN0.69-3.242.4KOff
24 Jul 2026186.9 MXN-4.8%189.0 MXN180.4 MXN0.91-2.191.3KOff
17 Jul 2026196.4 MXN1.2%189.2 MXN180.3 MXN0.882.202.1KOff
10 Jul 2026194.0 MXN1.7%189.0 MXN180.1 MXN0.541.0810.0KOff
3 Jul 2026190.8 MXN4.1%188.7 MXN179.9 MXN0.10-1.567.2KOff
26 Jun 2026183.3 MXN2.4%188.8 MXN179.8 MXN-0.40-5.810Off
19 Jun 2026178.9 MXN0.5%189.0 MXN179.7 MXN-0.55-8.920Off
12 Jun 2026178.0 MXN1.1%189.3 MXN179.6 MXN-0.60-10.012.0KOff
5 Jun 2026176.0 MXN-3.3%189.5 MXN179.6 MXN-0.72-8.83782Off
29 May 2026182.0 MXN2.0%189.9 MXN179.5 MXN-0.54-9.312.0KOff
22 May 2026178.4 MXN-1.1%190.1 MXN179.3 MXN-0.48-10.976.1KOff
15 May 2026180.4 MXN-3.3%190.4 MXN179.1 MXN-0.51-9.691.5KOff
8 May 2026186.5 MXN-3.1%190.5 MXN179.0 MXN-0.50-9.396.3KOff
1 May 2026192.4 MXN0.4%190.3 MXN178.8 MXN-0.66-4.004.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.