KTOS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 46.60 USD
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -15.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 31/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 46.60 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -15.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -19.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.02% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.8%. Indicator stack 35/41 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.02% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 31/100 conviction; expected move 3.0%. News sentiment 57/100 76 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -15.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.8% over four weeks, -19.5% over 12 weeks, and -17.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W-15.8%
12W-19.5%
26W-54.8%
52W-17.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-43.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-18.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
302.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
69.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
21.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
50.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-39.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-21.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-21.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-11.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

KTOS shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.59, expected move of 3.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction31/100
Expected move3.0%
Put/call volume0.59
Pressure32
Speculation42
Volatility50
Trend agreement14
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 76 relevant articles.

29 positive · 43 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-65.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-15.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.9% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.02%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.02% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors5/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 91; Small Cap Core rank 97 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

KTOS shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.59, expected move of 3.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.0% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 76 relevant articles.

Is Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) A Bargain Following $500 Million In Awards? Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202646.60 USD-1.6%72.60 USD41.59 USD-0.61-43.5414.8MOff
24 Jul 202647.35 USD2.9%73.69 USD41.39 USD-0.54-42.6415.8MOff
17 Jul 202646.03 USD-4.5%74.70 USD41.19 USD-0.54-45.4522.4MOff
10 Jul 202648.19 USD-12.9%75.68 USD40.98 USD-0.70-45.6016.5MOff
3 Jul 202655.35 USD17.2%76.61 USD40.76 USD-0.80-36.6626.4MOff
26 Jun 202647.21 USD-12.9%77.31 USD40.49 USD-0.99-45.5445.4MOff
19 Jun 202654.21 USD-6.1%78.28 USD40.28 USD-1.01-40.4317.2MOff
12 Jun 202657.75 USD-1.3%78.77 USD40.02 USD-1.04-34.9418.0MOff
5 Jun 202658.52 USD-8.7%79.26 USD39.74 USD-1.02-32.5422.8MOff
29 May 202664.13 USD14.2%79.91 USD39.45 USD-1.08-29.3429.6MOff
22 May 202656.18 USD7.9%80.79 USD39.13 USD-1.24-36.1516.1MOff
15 May 202652.09 USD-10.0%81.96 USD38.86 USD-1.22-40.0130.2MOff
8 May 202657.89 USD-6.7%82.99 USD38.61 USD-1.26-33.4922.0MOff
1 May 202662.05 USD1.3%84.22 USD38.33 USD-1.27-24.6416.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.