CRC NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

California Resources Corp · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 53.47 USD
1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 53.47 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.77% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%. Indicator stack 36/27 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.77% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 58/100 conviction; expected move 9.6%. News sentiment 53/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, -21.3% over 12 weeks, and 11.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.2%
4W-0.4%
12W-21.3%
26W10.4%
52W11.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-34.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-18.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
19.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
37.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-8.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-5.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
22.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

CRC shows bearish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction58/100
Expected move9.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure-92
Speculation6
Volatility63
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 7

9 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

15 positive · 36 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-13.8%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis41/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.77%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.77% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors47/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9; Small Cap Core rank 25 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

CRC shows bearish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 9.6% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Barclays Remains a Buy on California Resources Corp (CRC) Insiders9 / 7

9 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202653.47 USD1.2%57.57 USD49.38 USD-1.15-7.243.7MOff
17 Jul 202652.83 USD0.7%57.24 USD49.35 USD-1.05-8.973.6MOff
10 Jul 202652.47 USD2.4%56.91 USD49.30 USD-1.00-11.193.4MOff
3 Jul 202651.26 USD-4.6%56.75 USD49.23 USD-0.94-12.183.4MOff
26 Jun 202653.71 USD-2.9%56.61 USD49.17 USD-0.85-6.116.1MOff
19 Jun 202655.30 USD-5.6%56.37 USD49.09 USD-0.90-5.613.8MOn
12 Jun 202658.61 USD0.5%56.04 USD48.99 USD-0.830.903.2MOn
5 Jun 202658.34 USD-1.6%55.68 USD48.87 USD-0.671.043.5MOn
29 May 202659.29 USD-3.8%55.24 USD48.74 USD-0.490.263.1MOn
22 May 202661.62 USD1.5%54.80 USD48.59 USD-0.095.843.1MOn
15 May 202660.73 USD3.8%54.30 USD48.43 USD0.195.535.0MOn
8 May 202658.52 USD-13.8%53.82 USD48.27 USD0.432.226.3MOn
1 May 202667.91 USD5.6%53.46 USD48.12 USD0.7621.692.9MOn
24 Apr 202664.30 USD3.2%52.92 USD47.92 USD0.9517.242.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.