FMX NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fomento Economico Mexicano · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

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Latest close 128.0 USD
0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 70 out of 100
Latest Close 128.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.7% latest completed week
4W Return -0.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 32-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 14 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%. Indicator stack 79/62 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.31% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 38/100 conviction; expected move 5.5%. News sentiment 58/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 28 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -0.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1414 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 14 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, 5.6% over 12 weeks, and 54.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 32 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.7%
4W-0.1%
12W5.6%
26W24.6%
52W54.3%
Active trend streak32 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-51.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-13.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
27.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
40.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-88.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-91.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-87.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
28.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
31.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

FMX shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.50, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction38/100
Expected move5.5%
Put/call volume0.50
Pressure44
Speculation8
Volatility38
Trend agreement52
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

20 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings28 JulLatest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape72/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 14 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.31%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.31% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 2 SVQF8/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 934.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

FMX shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.50, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.5% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

Is Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CV (FMX) a Bargain After 5. Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings28 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026128.0 USD0.7%115.7 USD97.57 USD0.9013.083.9MOn
24 Jul 2026127.1 USD-1.5%114.6 USD97.34 USD1.1514.071.7MOn
17 Jul 2026129.0 USD2.0%113.6 USD97.14 USD1.6315.482.4MOn
10 Jul 2026126.5 USD-1.3%112.5 USD96.90 USD1.7311.852.6MOn
3 Jul 2026128.2 USD0.3%111.6 USD96.68 USD1.8715.102.4MOn
26 Jun 2026127.7 USD1.9%110.5 USD96.46 USD1.7317.452.9MOn
19 Jun 2026125.4 USD-2.2%109.3 USD96.24 USD1.3012.842.3MOn
12 Jun 2026128.2 USD4.4%108.1 USD96.02 USD1.1716.673.3MOn
5 Jun 2026122.9 USD3.2%106.9 USD95.80 USD0.8712.572.3MOn
29 May 2026119.0 USD-1.9%105.8 USD95.59 USD0.876.332.0MOn
22 May 2026121.3 USD-0.1%104.8 USD95.38 USD1.059.783.0MOn
15 May 2026121.4 USD0.1%103.8 USD95.14 USD0.8610.722.2MOn
8 May 2026121.2 USD1.0%102.8 USD94.90 USD0.8010.842.7MOn
1 May 2026120.0 USD5.5%101.7 USD94.67 USD0.6812.252.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.