AAL MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

American Airlines Group Inc. · Industrials · Airlines

Latest close 265.3 MXN
6.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a -13.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 265.3 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.1% latest completed week
4W Return -13.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a -13.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.33

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -13.3% over four weeks, 16.7% over 12 weeks, and 27.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.1%
4W-13.3%
12W16.7%
26W15.3%
52W27.2%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-44.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-70.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

8 positive · 21 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+6.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026265.3 MXN6.1%239.5 MXN241.5 MXN0.516.9831.8KOn
24 Jul 2026250.0 MXN-3.5%240.0 MXN241.6 MXN0.651.7915.3KOn
17 Jul 2026259.0 MXN-11.1%240.9 MXN241.8 MXN0.875.0910.0KOn
10 Jul 2026291.5 MXN-4.8%241.8 MXN242.0 MXN0.9818.3423.4KOn
3 Jul 2026306.0 MXN-1.6%241.0 MXN242.1 MXN0.9223.427.4KOff
26 Jun 2026311.0 MXN13.4%239.8 MXN242.1 MXN0.7425.629.4KOff
19 Jun 2026274.3 MXN6.6%237.9 MXN242.1 MXN0.6910.560Off
12 Jun 2026257.4 MXN9.6%236.7 MXN242.1 MXN0.743.6017.5KOff
5 Jun 2026234.8 MXN-8.5%236.0 MXN242.3 MXN0.49-2.703.8KOff
29 May 2026256.6 MXN5.2%236.5 MXN242.5 MXN0.472.3646.1KOff
22 May 2026244.0 MXN14.3%236.1 MXN242.5 MXN0.10-2.35107.9KOff
15 May 2026213.5 MXN-6.1%236.4 MXN242.6 MXN-0.31-14.209.0KOff
8 May 2026227.3 MXN12.4%236.5 MXN242.9 MXN-0.27-11.5144.9KOff
1 May 2026202.2 MXN-3.9%236.1 MXN243.0 MXN-0.49-19.1910.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.