ALGT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Allegiant Travel Company · Industrials · Airlines

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Latest close 98.08 USD
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -17.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 98.08 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -17.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.4%. Indicator stack 55/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 36/100 conviction; expected move 15.6%. News sentiment 57/100 67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -17.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6312-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.4% over four weeks, 18.1% over 12 weeks, and 103.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-17.4%
12W18.1%
26W10.7%
52W103.8%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-69.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework5/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
30.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
28.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
24.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ALGT shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction36/100
Expected move15.6%
Put/call volume1.00
Pressure6
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend agreement89
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 5

4 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

24 positive · 39 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.5%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-22.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.6% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis48/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.63; 6 reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 35 SVQF5/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 688.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

ALGT shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 15.6% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

Allegiant Travel Co (ALGT) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis Insiders4 / 5

4 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202698.08 USD0.0%92.41 USD71.12 USD0.309.912.3MOn
24 Jul 202698.08 USD-2.8%92.08 USD71.19 USD0.5711.432.0MOn
17 Jul 2026100.9 USD-9.1%91.63 USD71.32 USD0.9613.712.3MOn
10 Jul 2026111.0 USD-6.4%91.10 USD71.47 USD1.0820.872.4MOn
3 Jul 2026118.7 USD2.2%90.27 USD71.54 USD1.0332.633.1MOn
26 Jun 2026116.1 USD15.2%89.06 USD71.54 USD0.6432.054.5MOff
19 Jun 2026100.8 USD10.0%87.73 USD71.58 USD0.1610.512.4MOff
12 Jun 202691.59 USD8.9%86.55 USD71.67 USD-0.163.793.0MOff
5 Jun 202684.12 USD-8.2%85.70 USD71.82 USD-0.44-2.022.7MOff
29 May 202691.61 USD14.1%85.26 USD71.96 USD-0.502.052.2MOff
22 May 202680.31 USD7.2%84.27 USD72.02 USD-0.59-7.713.6MOff
15 May 202674.90 USD-9.8%83.81 USD72.13 USD-0.67-12.764.2MOff
8 May 202683.03 USD10.7%83.45 USD72.27 USD-0.65-3.642.7MOff
1 May 202675.02 USD-5.1%82.64 USD72.35 USD-0.68-8.083.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.