BLLN NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock · Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

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Latest close 138.6 USD
9.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.9%, after a 15.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 138.6 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 9.9% latest completed week
4W Return 15.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 49.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 6 of 39 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 9.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 15.2%. Indicator stack 29/83 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 69.57% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 14.9%. News sentiment 48/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.9%, after a 15.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7412-week average 0.35

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.2% over four weeks, 49.1% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.9%
4W15.2%
12W49.1%
26W68.0%
52W-
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change7.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
230.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
16.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
132.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
70.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
26.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
98.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-5.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-5.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-9.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

BLLN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 14.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move14.9%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure43
Speculation21
Volatility94
Trend agreement70
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

5 positive · 35 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+9.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.8% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis48/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.74; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 69.57%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 69.57% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 83; Small Cap Core rank 100 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

BLLN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 14.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 14.9% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Bellanova (BLLN) holder Shan Sakakibara files to sell 4,000 Class A shares Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026138.6 USD9.9%93.34 USD95.52 USD1.78-2.9MOn
24 Jul 2026126.1 USD-3.2%91.70 USD94.39 USD1.78-2.7MOn
17 Jul 2026130.3 USD2.8%90.47 USD93.53 USD1.84-3.1MOn
10 Jul 2026126.8 USD5.3%89.55 USD92.51 USD1.77-3.7MOn
3 Jul 2026120.3 USD1.8%88.72 USD91.53 USD1.65-2.4MOn
26 Jun 2026118.2 USD12.4%88.43 USD90.68 USD1.54-4.5MOn
19 Jun 2026105.2 USD4.0%88.83 USD89.85 USD1.34-3.4MOff
12 Jun 2026101.1 USD4.0%89.00 USD89.37 USD1.14-3.7MOff
5 Jun 202697.19 USD-1.8%88.62 USD88.99 USD0.99-4.8MOff
29 May 202698.99 USD15.2%88.72 USD88.72 USD0.97-2.6MOff
22 May 202685.92 USD4.0%-88.36 USD0.70-2.9MOff
15 May 202682.63 USD-11.1%-88.45 USD--4.6MOff
8 May 202692.96 USD20.0%-88.67 USD--5.5MOff
1 May 202677.49 USD-8.6%-88.50 USD--1.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.