CELH MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Celsius Holdings, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Latest close 469.0 MXN
-8.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.0%, after a -10.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 469.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.0% latest completed week
4W Return -10.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -19.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.06% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -30.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.0%, after a -10.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.0% over four weeks, -19.1% over 12 weeks, and -45.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.0%
4W-10.0%
12W-19.1%
26W-51.3%
52W-45.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change123.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-43.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

6 positive · 19 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-61.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-17.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-8.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses12
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026469.0 MXN-8.0%676.4 MXN741.2 MXN0.26-43.0613.1KOff
17 Jul 2026510.0 MXN-4.3%688.1 MXN743.7 MXN0.09-39.0746.5KOff
10 Jul 2026533.0 MXN-7.7%696.5 MXN746.0 MXN-0.29-36.902.6KOff
3 Jul 2026577.6 MXN10.9%705.3 MXN748.0 MXN-0.67-32.861.4KOff
26 Jun 2026521.0 MXN-2.3%711.9 MXN749.6 MXN-1.09-40.153.2KOff
19 Jun 2026533.1 MXN7.1%719.7 MXN751.8 MXN-1.14-39.830Off
12 Jun 2026497.9 MXN0.0%725.9 MXN754.0 MXN-1.18-44.572.1KOff
5 Jun 2026497.7 MXN-13.0%735.3 MXN756.5 MXN-1.13-43.571.8KOff
29 May 2026572.0 MXN9.4%744.4 MXN759.1 MXN-1.10-37.986.3KOff
22 May 2026523.0 MXN-0.4%762.4 MXN761.0 MXN-1.12-43.443.1KOff
15 May 2026525.0 MXN-5.3%783.9 MXN763.4 MXN-1.13-43.279.6KOff
8 May 2026554.2 MXN-4.4%806.6 MXN765.9 MXN-1.11-42.177.2KOff
1 May 2026580.0 MXN-3.5%826.2 MXN768.1 MXN-1.10-38.1030.1KOff
24 Apr 2026601.0 MXN-1.5%843.1 MXN770.1 MXN-1.15-37.473.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.