TALN MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TAL Education Group · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Latest close 208.5 MXN
15.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.8%, after a 34.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 208.5 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 15.8% latest completed week
4W Return 34.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 9.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 34.43% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.8%, after a 34.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 9.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 34.5% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and 4.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W15.8%
4W34.5%
12W7.5%
26W-4.8%
52W4.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change176.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change96.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

1 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+15.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains4
Flat weeks9
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split13/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Education & Training Services
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average11.5%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026208.5 MXN15.8%191.2 MXN200.9 MXN0.62-0.932.1KOff
24 Jul 2026180.0 MXN0.0%192.5 MXN200.4 MXN-0.03-13.970Off
17 Jul 2026180.0 MXN5.9%194.7 MXN200.1 MXN-0.38-14.58117Off
10 Jul 2026170.0 MXN9.7%196.9 MXN199.6 MXN-0.68-19.47101Off
3 Jul 2026155.0 MXN0.0%199.4 MXN199.2 MXN-0.82-27.530Off
26 Jun 2026155.0 MXN-1.9%202.5 MXN198.9 MXN-0.73-28.110Off
19 Jun 2026158.0 MXN-4.2%205.6 MXN198.6 MXN-0.65-27.720Off
12 Jun 2026165.0 MXN0.0%208.5 MXN198.2 MXN-0.53-25.320Off
5 Jun 2026165.0 MXN-1.8%211.2 MXN197.8 MXN-0.36-23.7641Off
29 May 2026168.0 MXN0.0%213.9 MXN197.5 MXN-0.25-25.575Off
22 May 2026168.0 MXN-13.0%216.6 MXN197.1 MXN-0.19-25.81310Off
15 May 2026193.0 MXN-0.5%218.6 MXN196.7 MXN-0.24-14.88100Off
8 May 2026194.0 MXN0.3%218.5 MXN196.1 MXN-0.28-16.9930Off
1 May 2026193.4 MXN0.8%218.3 MXN195.5 MXN-0.44-15.05124Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.