YMM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 9.49 USD
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 13.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 28/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 19d.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 9.49 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 13.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.7%. Indicator stack 12/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 28/100 conviction; expected move 12.5%. News sentiment 57/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 19d Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 13.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.7% over four weeks, 7.7% over 12 weeks, and -9.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W13.7%
12W7.7%
26W-3.2%
52W-9.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change511.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change45.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength89/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
113.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
63.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
37.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
9.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

YMM shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 12.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction28/100
Expected move12.5%
Put/call volume0.93
Pressure5
Speculation32
Volatility45
Trend agreement56
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

21 positive · 28 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings19dNext report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Factors73/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14; Small Cap Core rank 2 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options46/100

YMM shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 12.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 12.5% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings19d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20269.49 USD3.0%8.85 USD9.22 USD1.14-15.1438.4MOff
24 Jul 20269.21 USD0.8%8.91 USD9.20 USD0.93-17.2026.7MOff
17 Jul 20269.14 USD6.7%8.97 USD9.19 USD0.59-18.8739.3MOff
10 Jul 20268.57 USD2.7%9.03 USD9.17 USD0.26-25.7725.5MOff
3 Jul 20268.35 USD9.2%9.13 USD9.16 USD0.19-27.5233.7MOff
26 Jun 20267.64 USD-1.0%9.24 USD9.15 USD0.17-32.8527.9MOff
19 Jun 20267.72 USD-7.6%9.36 USD9.14 USD0.43-34.4627.9MOff
12 Jun 20268.36 USD-1.7%9.44 USD9.13 USD0.58-29.2136.0MOff
5 Jun 20268.50 USD-3.6%9.57 USD9.12 USD0.59-28.3039.8MOff
29 May 20268.82 USD5.5%9.69 USD9.10 USD0.56-28.23145.8MOff
22 May 20268.36 USD-3.5%9.83 USD9.09 USD0.27-31.6346.4MOff
15 May 20268.66 USD-1.7%9.98 USD9.07 USD0.08-29.2237.6MOff
8 May 20268.81 USD2.3%10.11 USD9.05 USD-0.12-28.5831.2MOff
1 May 20268.61 USD-0.6%10.20 USD9.03 USD-0.58-29.2322.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.