AEG ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ALANDEQGRP FPO [AEG] · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Latest close 0.08 AUD
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 44.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 17.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 0.08 AUD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return 17.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 25-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.56% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 44.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 17.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8712-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.87Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.1% over four weeks, 7.9% over 12 weeks, and 192.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 25 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W17.1%
12W7.9%
26W134.3%
52W192.9%
Active trend streak25 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-364.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership108.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change5.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 24% Model confidence 13%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
0/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility23.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+61.7%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol23.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol23.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew21.6% / -12.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20260.08 AUD-1.2%0.06 AUD0.03 AUD-0.16108.621.1MOn
17 Jul 20260.08 AUD-8.8%0.05 AUD0.03 AUD-0.07116.26919.3KOn
10 Jul 20260.09 AUD-8.1%0.05 AUD0.03 AUD0.02143.921.0MOn
3 Jul 20260.10 AUD41.4%0.05 AUD0.03 AUD0.03173.432.8MOn
26 Jun 20260.07 AUD-11.4%0.05 AUD0.03 AUD0.06103.002.1MOn
19 Jun 20260.08 AUD12.9%0.04 AUD0.03 AUD0.23133.4615.9KOn
12 Jun 20260.07 AUD-16.7%0.04 AUD0.03 AUD0.54114.1697.7KOn
5 Jun 20260.08 AUD-1.2%0.04 AUD0.03 AUD0.90169.331.1MOn
29 May 20260.09 AUD-14.1%0.04 AUD0.03 AUD1.14179.31289.6KOn
22 May 20260.10 AUD-10.0%0.04 AUD0.03 AUD1.35240.404.6MOn
15 May 20260.11 AUD4.8%0.03 AUD0.03 AUD1.18298.644.0MOn
8 May 20260.10 AUD38.2%0.03 AUD0.03 AUD1.09298.668.5MOn
1 May 20260.08 AUD61.7%0.03 AUD0.03 AUD0.79205.854.0MOn
24 Apr 20260.05 AUD-2.1%0.02 AUD0.03 AUD0.5494.581.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.