AFA ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ASF Group Limited · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Latest close 0.07 AUD
1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 19.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 12.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 0.07 AUD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 12.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 25.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.51% based on similar historical setup states.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 19.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 12.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.53

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.9% over four weeks, 25.0% over 12 weeks, and 2233.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.4%
4W12.9%
12W25.0%
26W7.7%
52W2233.3%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change345.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change24.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 64% Model confidence 19%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
20.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
100.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-110.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-122.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-23.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
175.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-80.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.2%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-19.1%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks3
Modest losses2
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol673.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew259.7% / -14.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20260.07 AUD1.4%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.7019.6547.8KOn
17 Jul 20260.07 AUD6.2%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.6620.2683.2KOn
10 Jul 20260.07 AUD0.0%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.4715.7327.1KOn
3 Jul 20260.07 AUD4.8%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.3017.7215.3KOn
26 Jun 20260.06 AUD-1.6%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.1615.8136.2KOn
19 Jun 20260.06 AUD5.0%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD0.0719.3587.1KOn
12 Jun 20260.06 AUD-6.3%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD-0.1116.531On
5 Jun 20260.06 AUD0.0%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD-0.2129.48154On
29 May 20260.06 AUD1.6%0.06 AUD0.04 AUD-0.3630.8410.0KOn
22 May 20260.06 AUD1.6%0.07 AUD0.04 AUD-0.4732.9313.4KOff
15 May 20260.06 AUD19.2%0.08 AUD0.04 AUD-0.4334.3118.9KOff
8 May 20260.05 AUD-7.1%0.08 AUD0.04 AUD-0.2913.8364.7KOff
1 May 20260.06 AUD-12.5%0.07 AUD0.04 AUD-0.1725.2080.1KOff
24 Apr 20260.06 AUD-8.6%0.07 AUD0.04 AUD-0.2345.408.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.