- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.83% based on similar historical setup states.
HUB
ASX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
HUB24 Limited · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
81.36 AUD
-2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a 16.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
43
out of 100
Latest Close
81.36 AUD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.4%.
Indicator stack
21/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.83%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a 16.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.4% over four weeks, -1.6% over 12 weeks, and -21.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change151.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change51.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 45%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 83.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 16.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 45.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 100.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 24.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 31.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 23.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 69.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 94.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
6 positive · 11 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.3%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-17.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average2.5%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Capital Markets
4-week rank2 / 9
Group average6.8%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.83%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.83% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 6 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
HUB24 (ASX: HUB) — Is the High-Growth Platform Stock Facing a Valuation Test? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 81.36 AUD | -2.2% | 85.68 AUD | 67.28 AUD | 0.24 | -12.77 | 1.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 83.23 AUD | 0.4% | 86.23 AUD | 66.93 AUD | 0.15 | -11.45 | 962.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 82.89 AUD | 2.3% | 86.63 AUD | 66.56 AUD | 0.00 | -12.30 | 1.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 81.04 AUD | 16.0% | 87.16 AUD | 66.19 AUD | -0.27 | -14.86 | 1.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 69.89 AUD | -5.0% | 87.77 AUD | 65.82 AUD | -0.47 | -26.09 | 1.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 73.55 AUD | -8.3% | 88.89 AUD | 65.53 AUD | -0.57 | -23.09 | 1.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 80.20 AUD | -4.4% | 89.75 AUD | 65.22 AUD | -0.44 | -16.08 | 358.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 83.85 AUD | 0.9% | 90.55 AUD | 64.87 AUD | -0.34 | -10.50 | 942.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 83.10 AUD | 0.3% | 91.51 AUD | 64.49 AUD | -0.33 | -12.39 | 584.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 82.84 AUD | 2.9% | 92.53 AUD | 64.11 AUD | -0.26 | -11.97 | 1.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 80.54 AUD | -1.6% | 93.45 AUD | 63.74 AUD | -0.32 | -14.14 | 1.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 81.83 AUD | -1.1% | 94.26 AUD | 63.39 AUD | -0.28 | -13.94 | 1.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 82.71 AUD | -0.9% | 95.02 AUD | 63.04 AUD | -0.31 | -12.89 | 1.3M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 83.44 AUD | -12.8% | 95.67 AUD | 62.68 AUD | -0.48 | -12.64 | 2.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.