TJX GER Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The TJX Companies, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Latest close 135.5 EUR
-0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 135.5 EUR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -1.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -1.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.1% over four weeks, 1.9% over 12 weeks, and 27.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.4%
4W-1.1%
12W1.9%
26W5.1%
52W27.3%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-517.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-73.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework40/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
31.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
29.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
14.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
17.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

1 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-4.2%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026135.5 EUR-0.4%134.2 EUR108.0 EUR-0.521.59265On
17 Jul 2026136.0 EUR2.6%134.1 EUR107.6 EUR-0.493.44403On
10 Jul 2026132.5 EUR-2.9%133.9 EUR107.2 EUR-0.300.27152On
3 Jul 2026136.5 EUR-0.4%133.9 EUR106.9 EUR0.040.81769On
26 Jun 2026137.0 EUR-3.5%133.7 EUR106.4 EUR-0.086.062On
19 Jun 2026142.0 EUR-2.1%133.5 EUR106.0 EUR-0.229.04286On
12 Jun 2026145.0 EUR6.6%133.1 EUR105.6 EUR-0.4013.4117On
5 Jun 2026136.0 EUR2.6%132.4 EUR105.1 EUR-0.766.38149On
29 May 2026132.5 EUR-1.9%132.0 EUR104.7 EUR-0.742.57297Off
22 May 2026135.0 EUR5.9%131.6 EUR104.3 EUR-0.685.68246On
15 May 2026127.5 EUR-2.3%131.2 EUR103.9 EUR-0.594.021.1KOff
8 May 2026130.5 EUR-1.9%131.0 EUR103.5 EUR-0.444.91253On
1 May 2026133.0 EUR-2.9%130.6 EUR103.1 EUR-0.227.3677On
24 Apr 2026137.0 EUR1.5%130.1 EUR102.7 EUR0.0211.59708On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.