COP MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: COP weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

ConocoPhillips · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 2,091 MXN

-0.8% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 15.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100

Latest Close 2,091 MXN 31 Jul 2026

1W Return -0.8% latest completed week

4W Return 15.3% short-term follow-through

12W Return 6.1% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average

What is working

Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.25% based on similar historical setup states.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through -0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 15.3%. Indicator stack 20/47 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.25% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 15.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

1,595 MXN 58.0% 2,451 MXN

Range location58.0%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance4.0%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap6.6%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-14.7%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.62

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.3% over four weeks, 6.1% over 12 weeks, and 16.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%

4W15.3%

12W6.1%

26W15.5%

52W16.6%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year19

Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change53.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership8.89Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change251.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

7 positive · 25 neutral · 1 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-14.7%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.

Best week+8.0%Week of 6 Mar.

Worst week-10.7%Week of 8 May.

Latest week-0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9

Modest gains6

Flat weeks0

Modest losses7

Sharp losses4

Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew3.8% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorMX Energy

4-week rank8 / 27

Group average10.7%

Trend breadth51.9%

Trend51.9%active weekly trend signals

MD22.2%positive activity pressure

RS85.2%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PBF · MEX52.8%PBRN · MEX20.3%VG · MEX19.8%SHEL1N · MEX16.5%CVX · MEX16.3%

IndustryMX Oil & Gas E&P

4-week rank2 / 7

Group average10.7%

Trend breadth57.1%

Trend57.1%active weekly trend signals

MD0.0%positive activity pressure

RS85.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

OXY1 · MEX16.1%COP · MEX15.3%TALO · MEX12.4%VISTAA · MEX11.0%DVN · MEX10.8%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape44/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis44/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.25%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.25% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

Is ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Trading At A Discount Or Fair Value? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	2,091 MXN	-0.8%	2,011 MXN	1,962 MXN	-0.41	8.89	141	Off
24 Jul 2026	2,109 MXN	5.5%	1,998 MXN	1,961 MXN	-0.61	10.69	1.1K	Off
17 Jul 2026	2,000 MXN	4.2%	1,983 MXN	1,960 MXN	-0.90	4.65	12	Off
10 Jul 2026	1,920 MXN	5.8%	1,972 MXN	1,959 MXN	-0.98	0.64	1.0K	Off
3 Jul 2026	1,814 MXN	-1.4%	1,967 MXN	1,959 MXN	-0.90	-5.88	1.3K	Off
26 Jun 2026	1,840 MXN	-3.7%	1,964 MXN	1,958 MXN	-0.80	-4.97	9	Off
19 Jun 2026	1,910 MXN	-9.3%	1,957 MXN	1,958 MXN	-0.71	-2.20	0	On
12 Jun 2026	2,107 MXN	1.9%	1,947 MXN	1,957 MXN	-0.58	7.20	0	On
5 Jun 2026	2,067 MXN	3.4%	1,930 MXN	1,955 MXN	-0.52	8.03	0	On
29 May 2026	2,000 MXN	-3.9%	1,915 MXN	1,953 MXN	-0.46	0.97	148	On
22 May 2026	2,080 MXN	-1.5%	1,903 MXN	1,951 MXN	-0.14	5.44	339	On
15 May 2026	2,111 MXN	7.0%	1,889 MXN	1,949 MXN	0.10	7.74	162	On
8 May 2026	1,972 MXN	-10.7%	1,872 MXN	1,947 MXN	0.24	-2.05	963	On
1 May 2026	2,208 MXN	2.2%	1,861 MXN	1,945 MXN	0.48	12.72	1.3K	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.