ADGO BUE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Adecoagro S.A. · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Latest close 16,850 ARS
6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 16.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 16,850 ARS 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 16.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 16.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 16.2% over four weeks, -20.0% over 12 weeks, and 38.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.4%
4W16.2%
12W-20.0%
26W25.0%
52W38.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

0 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-18.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202616,850 ARS6.4%16,469 ARS14,221 ARS-0.62-5.02152.4KOff
17 Jul 202615,840 ARS-1.9%16,314 ARS14,188 ARS-0.74-8.49410.7KOff
10 Jul 202616,140 ARS0.8%16,175 ARS14,160 ARS-0.88-9.3497.7KOff
3 Jul 202616,010 ARS10.4%15,995 ARS14,122 ARS-0.82-8.07274.9KOff
26 Jun 202614,500 ARS1.8%15,886 ARS14,083 ARS-0.85-14.96148.4KOff
19 Jun 202614,250 ARS-18.3%15,817 ARS14,052 ARS-0.70-20.873.7KOn
12 Jun 202617,440 ARS1.1%15,725 ARS14,025 ARS-0.43-5.2377.7KOn
5 Jun 202617,250 ARS-4.1%15,526 ARS13,977 ARS-0.171.8928.9KOn
29 May 202617,990 ARS-5.8%15,356 ARS13,928 ARS0.123.7256.4KOn
22 May 202619,090 ARS-2.2%15,164 ARS13,870 ARS0.4322.7968.8KOn
15 May 202619,520 ARS0.1%14,933 ARS13,805 ARS0.5932.9096.7KOn
8 May 202619,500 ARS-7.5%14,674 ARS13,736 ARS0.7431.03152.4KOn
1 May 202621,070 ARS11.0%14,400 ARS13,663 ARS1.0339.47140.5KOn
24 Apr 202618,980 ARS4.1%14,092 ARS13,578 ARS1.2926.29115.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.