PM BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

Latest close 16,740 ARS
-2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 3.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 16,740 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.8% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 3.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9412-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.7% over four weeks, 19.6% over 12 weeks, and 37.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.8%
4W3.7%
12W19.6%
26W13.2%
52W37.9%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change46.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.

7 positive · 22 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.6%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Tobacco
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-2.1%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202616,740 ARS-2.8%14,674 ARS11,166 ARS1.07-1.794.4KOn
24 Jul 202617,220 ARS2.3%14,571 ARS11,118 ARS1.031.166.2KOn
17 Jul 202616,830 ARS6.8%14,447 ARS11,065 ARS0.871.514.4KOn
10 Jul 202615,760 ARS-2.4%14,336 ARS11,015 ARS0.66-7.542.8KOn
3 Jul 202616,140 ARS4.7%14,232 ARS10,974 ARS0.61-3.343.1KOn
26 Jun 202615,410 ARS3.6%14,102 ARS10,928 ARS0.40-5.831.1KOn
19 Jun 202614,873 ARS-1.6%14,024 ARS10,888 ARS0.21-14.0276On
12 Jun 202615,111 ARS1.9%13,955 ARS10,852 ARS0.20-14.59345On
5 Jun 202614,823 ARS2.3%13,870 ARS10,813 ARS0.23-9.291.1KOn
29 May 202614,486 ARS-6.6%13,787 ARS10,777 ARS0.15-13.863.0KOn
22 May 202615,518 ARS0.3%13,702 ARS10,742 ARS0.062.434.8KOn
15 May 202615,478 ARS10.6%13,634 ARS10,698 ARS-0.127.6417.3KOn
8 May 202614,000 ARS2.7%13,562 ARS10,652 ARS-0.47-4.439.7KOff
1 May 202613,632 ARS0.2%13,513 ARS10,621 ARS-0.68-9.039.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.